Planning tips – What could happen?


  • Government are scanning the horizon for big stuff out of hours via ‘watchkeepers’ in the Cabinet Office‘s National Security Secretariat, who would assemble a COBRA at night if something kicked off. They work with the Civil Contingencies Secretariat, run by the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, to manage crises.
  • Register for weather and flood alerts. The good news is you should get warning of weather disasters.
Met Office
Environment Agency flood alerts
  • Plan-in your council’s community risk register.
Sample community risk register extract
Community Risk Register explainer
National Risk Register prepper comment


  • Get vaccinations.
  • Store key documents together to grab.
Document go bag
  • Get insured.
  • Protect your computers.
  • Keep supplies at home.
Bug in guide
  • Have backup childcare.
  • Have plans to workaround your workplace, transport, home, utilities, data or health being lost or you being contaminated or under terror attack.


  • In a terror attack government advises run hide tell. In USA advice is sometimes to fight and take cover.
DHS terror drill public info
  • If you are not getting home or bugging out then government advises get in, stay in, tune in.


  • Plan how to cope with:
    • antimicrobial resistance (antibiotics don’t work),
AMR explainer
  • cyber attack,
    • strikes,
    • riots,
Clint on riots
  • terror,
UK police terror attack advice
  • war,
    • disease (from refugees or tourists),
    • pollution (smog, chemical leak),
Chemical attack drill
  • weather (flood, heatwave, fire, earthquake, volcano, house falling into sea),
Flood advice
Heatwave advice
  • utility or transport down, and
Grid down preps
  • shortages.
Food preps
  • Climate change appears to be a hoax like all the other weather scares in recent decades, but even if there is anything to it, the effects are alleged to be risks you will already plan for anyway such as health and flood.
One hoax after another?
  • Globalisation brings with it more diseases so pandemics are going to be your biggest concern, but mainly because they are launched by or weaponsied by globalists like WEF for The Great Reset.
WEF launches #TheGreatReset in June 2020
  • Your second biggest concern will be cyber attacks causing a grid down, probably by the big four of North Korea, Iran, China and Russia.
Kim WrongUn
  • Government suggests the risks to prioritise in this order are:
    • flu pandemic,
  • being snowed in,
Sensible Prepper on snow prepping
  • attack on transport or crowds,
    • NBC attack,
  • power failure,
    • flood,
    • disease,
    • space weather,
  • smog,
    • heatwave,
    • cyber attack on infrastructure,
    • cyber attack on services,
    • volcano,
    • utilities down,
    • riot,
    • storm,
    • industrial or transport accident (plane crash, road closed, fuel explosion, chlorine leak, train crash, nuclear train incident, tanker ship leak, port blockade, pathogen leak, nuclear power station leak),
    • attack on infrastructure,
    • animal disease,
    • drought,
    • strike (prison, railway, emergency services),
    • wildfire,
    • earthquake.

These could come from abroad such as a nuclear leak or volcano ash or refugee crisis.

  • The services which government worry about losing are energy, food, water, transport, comms, blue lights, health, finance and government. You need to consider replacing these with your own fuel, food and water stockpile, comms, security, medicine, firefighting, savings, barterables and any public services you would miss.
  • You may notice that the government’s view is that the most likely or devastating risks involve trapping you at home with no food, whether by pandemic, snow or war. The least likely or ‘safest’ are natural disasters which we tend to dodge in the UK. Strikes are not seen as a massively big deal as you can usually find strike breakers. Deadly leaks come somewhere in the middle. Rated worse are loss of utilities, infrastructure or services. Worse still is weather, pollution, disease and flood. Loss of electricity is seen as almost as bad as a nuke.
  • The most likely scenarios in decreasing order of severity are pandemic, cold, heat, space weather, pollution, utility failure, volcano, riot and storm. Next come electricity failure, coast & river flooding, surface flooding, animal disease, drought, strike. Finally there is transport crash, industrial accident, wildfire and earthquake.
  • The most devastating events are pandemic, cold, electricity failure and flood. So your key skills and gear need to address health, isolation, clothing, fuel, food and flood protection and cleanup and evacuation. Bear in mind everyone would be cleaning up or evacuating or stockpiling fuel or medicine or food at the same time, so you need the kit (including building repairs and vehicles) in advance and a clever plan implemented faster than your neighbours.
  • More manageable events include transport crash, industrial accident, surface flooding, space weather, pollution and heatwave which are more localised or survivable, although a risk to the vulnerable, especially with the risk of a grid down from space weather. These can mostly be addressed with masks, aircon, flood protection and staying indoors, so you basically need to buy and fit the equipment, but eventually utilities could be affected, especially with space weather.
  • The least worrying events on the radar are wildfire, strike, animal disease, drought, volcano, riot, utility failure, storm and earthquake, as they tend to only affect limited people for a limited time to a limited extent. But it depends where you live and how reliant you allow yourself to be on suppliers for things like building repairs, transport, water, food, fuel, security and healthcare. Significant earthquakes in the UK are rare and tend not to flatten buildings.
  • Government categorise malicious attacks separately and say the most likely scenario is attacks on crowds, and to a lesser extent sabotaging services or launching small NBC attacks, while least likely would be attacking infrastructure or WMD attacks. The most difficult to deal with is WMD and the easiest is attacks on services whereas the other scenarios are somewhere in the middle.
  • The bottom line is you need to be able to:
    • bug in and seal off your home, feed from supplies and replace any utilities you want to keep, except possibly for flood other natural disasters or nukes when you may have bug out eventually,
    • defend your home from civil disorder and
    • repair your home from a storm or bomb.
  • To put it another way you need weapons, a pantry of food and water, a cooker and heater, and plywood, plastic sheets and tape. Very few disasters involve taking to the hills with a bug out bag to start your new life as Mad Max, especially in the UK where pretty much only criminals and farmers have guns, there may be loads of other Billy Bad Asses bigger and badder than you already in the hills, and Britain has no wilderness.


  • In a disaster you will be your own services, so learn first aid, crafts, DIY, water purification, self defence, CB radio, bushcraft, firefighting, livestock and agriculture.
Self defence ideas

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